India Rainfall Forecast Map
VayuMet's Rainfall layer maps precipitation across India at three time resolutions from NOAA GFS — 6-hourly totals, 24-hourly (daily) totals stepped out across the forecast run, and cumulative run-total rainfall. A composite radar reflectivity layer and a rain-plus-radar-flash overlay highlight active convective cells.
What's on the Map
- Total Rain · 6h — accumulated rainfall (mm) in each 6-hour forecast window.
- Total Rain · 24h (Daily) — accumulated rainfall (mm) per forecast day, stepped across the run.
- Total Rain · Cumulative — running total rainfall (mm) from the start of the forecast to each timestep.
- Rain + Radar Flash — 6-hourly rainfall with an animated convective-cell flash overlay for spotting active thunderstorm activity.
- Composite Reflectivity — simulated radar reflectivity (dBZ), a proxy for storm intensity and precipitation type.
GFS at 0.25° resolution can significantly underestimate orographic rainfall over steep terrain such as the Western Ghats and Himalayan foothills — use the map for spatial pattern guidance rather than point-precise values, and see individual state forecast pages for district-level context.
Questions This Page Answers
- Will my district see Heavy Rain in the next ten days — and on which dates?
- When does a rain band arrive and clear over the next day or two?
- How much will a multi-day spell add up to by the time it ends?
How to Read It
- Judge intensity on the 24-hour layer. The India Meteorological Department (IMD) categories are daily totals: Heavy Rain 64.5–115.5 mm, Very Heavy Rain 115.6–204.4 mm, Extremely Heavy Rain 204.5 mm or more. A 6-hour value is not comparable with these thresholds.
- Use the 6-hour layer for timing — step through it to see when rain starts and stops, then switch to Cumulative for the event total.
- Treat Composite Reflectivity as a storm-core signal. Values of roughly 40 dBZ and above usually mean intense convective rain; broad, weaker returns suggest steadier rain.
- Read patterns, not points. A 25 km model grid smooths out local downpours and underestimates rain on steep slopes, so a coloured band marks where rain is likely rather than the exact total at your village.
Go Deeper
- District weather warnings — the same forecast translated into Yellow, Orange and Red warnings for 754 districts.
- What an impact-based district warning actually says — why the same 40 mm means different things in different districts.
- Monsoon hub — the season calendar, VayuMet's monsoon tools and every sub-seasonal update.
Data Source
| Dataset | Operator | Resolution | Update Cycle |
|---|---|---|---|
| GFS (Global Forecast System) | NOAA / NCEP | 0.25° | 4× daily (00Z, 06Z, 12Z, 18Z) |
Related Pages
For a written monsoon rainfall analysis, see the GFS Model India Rainfall Forecast blog post and the Monsoon 2026 Monitor for forecast-vs-actual seasonal comparison. For a single district's 10-day rainfall time series, use the District 10-Day Forecast.