Madhya Pradesh Weather Forecast & Climate Summary

52 DISTRICTS  ·  CENTRAL INDIA  ·  IMD 1991–2020 CLIMATOLOGY + LIVE GFS/CFSv2
1008.7 mm
Annual Rainfall (State Avg)
90%
Share Falling in Monsoon (JJAS)
41.7°C
Typical Hottest Day
9.2°C
Typical Coldest Night

Madhya Pradesh sits at the geographic heart of India, landlocked and continental, its rainfall governed largely by the day-to-day position of the monsoon trough that runs close to or over the state through the season — making it something of a bellwether for the health of the all-India monsoon. For live interactive rainfall, wind and satellite maps over Madhya Pradesh, open VayuMet.

Geography & Seasonal Cycle

The Malwa plateau covers much of the north and west, while the Vindhya and Satpura ranges run broadly east-west across the state, separated by the valley of the west-flowing Narmada — unusual among major Indian rivers, most of which flow east into the Bay of Bengal. The Bundelkhand upland in the north and the Maikal hills toward Chhattisgarh in the east complete the state's varied but entirely landlocked terrain.

Winter (December-February) is mild to cool, cooler and occasionally frosty in the north. Pre-monsoon summer (March-June) is hot, most intense in the northern plains bordering Uttar Pradesh's Bundelkhand. The monsoon (June-September) is the dominant season and generally reliable, since MP lies close to the monsoon trough's climatological position and receives systems from the Bay of Bengal. Post-monsoon (October-November) is dry and mild.

Weather Systems by Season

Monsoon trough position Monsoon (Jun-Sep)Oscillates continuously through the season

The monsoon trough's normal axis runs close to Madhya Pradesh, so small north-south shifts in its position translate directly into 'active' or 'break' rainfall spells for the state — a sensitivity that makes MP's monsoon performance a useful indicator for the wider all-India season.

Monsoon depressions / lows Monsoon (Jun-Sep)Several per season track across or near the state

Bay of Bengal-origin depressions and lows moving west-northwest are the state's main heavy-rain drivers, particularly for the east and central districts.

Western disturbances Winter (Dec-Feb)Occasional, mainly affecting the north

Western disturbances bring light winter rain to northern MP and can be followed by cold-wave conditions.

Heatwaves Pre-monsoon (Mar-Jun)Regular, most intense in the north

Northern districts bordering UP's Bundelkhand region see the state's most severe pre-monsoon heat.

Frequencies cited from published IMD/IITM climatology where a source is named inline; day-count figures in the table below are computed directly from the 1951–2025 IMD daily archive.

Seasonal Weather Data

The table below is a state-wide average across Madhya Pradesh's 52 districts, built from IMD's real 1991-2020 gridded rainfall/temperature normals and 1951-2025 daily archives (not a forecast). Individual districts, especially in Bundelkhand versus the wetter east, can differ meaningfully from this average — use the district climatology tool linked below for any single district's own figures.

Want a specific district's real 10-day forecast?  Search any Madhya Pradesh district below. Open District 10-Day Forecast →
SeasonRainfall (mm)Rain daysMean Max / Min (°C)Typical Hottest / Coldest (°C)Sky (Sunny·Partly·Overcast days)
Winter
Jan–Feb
22.14.826.3 / 11.630.6 / 9.216.9·42.1·0.0
Pre-Monsoon (Summer)
Mar–May
33.07.237.7 / 22.241.7 / 15.119.5·71.2·1.2
Monsoon (SW)
Jun–Sep
907.980.232.6 / 24.441.0 / 22.11.9·79.6·40.5
Post-Monsoon
Oct–Dec
45.77.629.4 / 15.233.6 / 9.538.9·53.0·0.1

State figures are a simple average across 52 member districts (IMD Pune 1991–2020 normal; day-count and sky figures from real 1951–2025 daily archives — see District Climatology tool for any single district's own numbers, which can differ substantially from this state average).

Recorded Extremes (IMD 1951–2025 Gridded Data)

Computed directly from the real IMD 1951–2025 daily gridded archive — not a forecast, and not the same as a single-station record. IMD's gridded temperature is 1°×1° (~111 km/cell) and rainfall is 0.25°×0.25° (~25 km/cell); both are spatial analyses of many station observations; a famous single-station record (e.g. a specific town's all-time hottest day) will typically read higher than the grid-cell value shown here, since one station reading isn't smoothed over a ~25–111 km box. "Place" is the nearest district to the grid cell where the extreme occurred, not necessarily the exact spot.

Risk Profile

Flood

Monsoon (Jun-Sep). The Narmada, Betwa and Chambal basins are prone to flooding when a monsoon depression stalls or a very active trough spell drops sustained heavy rain.

Drought

Monsoon-shortfall years. The Bundelkhand region of northern MP is chronically drought-vulnerable, sharing the same structural water stress as its Uttar Pradesh counterpart across the border.

Heatwave

Pre-monsoon (Mar-Jun). Northern and central MP see recurring heatwave spells ahead of monsoon onset.

Cold wave

Winter (Dec-Jan). Northern districts occasionally see sharp cold-wave conditions following a western disturbance's passage.

Madhya Pradesh Weather Highlights

All 52 Districts

Click a district on the District Climatology tool or search it on the 10-day forecast page for its own normals — the grid below is the full current list (India's Local Government Directory codes, cross-checked against the latest state reorganisation).

Agar Malwa
Alirajpur
Anuppur
Ashoknagar
Balaghat
Barwani
Betul
Bhind
Bhopal
Burhanpur
Chhatarpur
Chhindwara
Damoh
Datia
Dewas
Dhar
Dindori
East Nimar
Guna
Gwalior
Harda
Hoshangabad
Indore
Jabalpur
Jhabua
Katni
Mandla
Mandsaur
Morena
Narsimhapur
Neemuch
Niwari
Panna
Raisen
Rajgarh
Ratlam
Rewa
Sagar
Satna
Sehore
Seoni
Shahdol
Shajapur
Sheopur
Shivpuri
Sidhi
Singrauli
Tikamgarh
Ujjain
Umaria
Vidisha
West Nimar
Open Live Madhya Pradesh Map → 10-Day District Forecast District Climatology Tool
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