Uttar Pradesh is India's most populous state, spanning the entire central Ganges plain. Monsoon rainfall increases from west (~550 mm in Agra) to east (~1,000 mm in Varanasi/Gorakhpur). For live interactive rainfall maps, open VayuMet.
| District / City | Day 1–2 (mm) | Day 3–4 (mm) | Day 5–7 (mm) | Confidence |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lucknow | 0–3 | 2–8 | 5–18 | Moderate |
| Kanpur | 0–3 | 2–7 | 4–15 | Moderate |
| Varanasi | 0–4 | 3–10 | 5–20 | Moderate |
| Agra | 0–2 | 0–5 | 2–12 | Low–Moderate |
| Allahabad (Prayagraj) | 0–3 | 2–8 | 5–18 | Moderate |
| Gorakhpur | 2–8 | 5–15 | 8–25 | Moderate |
| Meerut | 0–3 | 1–6 | 3–14 | Moderate |
| Mathura | 0–2 | 0–5 | 2–10 | Low–Moderate |
2026 National Outlook: IMD's April 2026 LRF projects below-normal seasonal (JJAS) rainfall at 92% of LPA nationally. A developing El Niño (98% probability, NOAA/IRI) is the primary suppressing driver — central India (including UP) is one of the most El Niño-sensitive rainfall zones. The early Kerala onset (~26 May, IMD) implies onset over eastern UP around 14–16 June — a few days early — but total seasonal rainfall is expected below-normal.
Eastern UP receives the Bay of Bengal monsoon branch first, with normal onset around 18–20 June. Given the early 2026 onset progression, onset in eastern UP is expected around 14–16 June. It is also prone to floods — the Ghaghara, Rapti, and Gandak rivers rise rapidly during active monsoon spells. Despite the early onset, total JJAS rainfall for eastern UP is expected below-normal in 2026 under El Niño suppression.
Central UP receives monsoon around 22–25 June and experiences the classic monsoon cycle of active and break spells. Normal JJAS rainfall is 750–900 mm. The 2026 El Niño is expected to increase the frequency and duration of break monsoon spells over central India — total seasonal rainfall is forecast below-normal.
Western UP is at the northwestern edge of the monsoon — onset is around 27 June–1 July and rainfall amounts are lower (~550–700 mm JJAS). The monsoon here is more erratic and more susceptible to break spells caused by the monsoon trough lifting towards the Himalayas. Western UP is among the drier UP zones and carries elevated drought risk in the 2026 below-normal national outlook.
And 39 more districts. For all 75 districts, use the VayuMet interactive map.